October 5, 2012

Obama lead slips post-debate -- New state polls show tighter races -- McCrory, Nixon ahead in NC, MO

YOUR DAILY POLLING UPDATE

OBAMA APPROVAL: CLARUS AVERAGE 50%
(up 1 from yesterday; up 1 from a week ago)

PRESIDENTIAL NATIONWIDE: CLARUS AVERAGE*

Obama over Romney +2

Note: Most of the interviews used for this average were conducted before Wednesday's debate.

CLARUS POLL: BEFORE vs. AFTER DEBATE**
(Nationwide survey of likely voters, MOE +/- 4.03%)

BEFORE (conducted Tuesday): Obama over Romney +4
AFTER (conducted Thursday): Romney over Obama +1

PRESIDENT: BY STATE***

Ohio: (a) Obama over Romney +1, (b) Romney over Obama +1
Virginia: Romney over Obama +1 (a), +3 (b)
Florida: Romney over Obama +3

U.S. SENATE****

Washington: Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) over Michael Baumgartner (R) +20

GOVERNOR#

North Carolina: Pat McCrory (R) over Walter Dalton (D) +16
Missouri (D poll): Gov. Jay Nixon over Dave Spence (R) +19

SOURCES:
Presidential job rating average of the six most recently reported nationwide polls.
* Average based on the four most recently released nationwide polls: Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN and National Journal.
** Clarus Research Group, Oct. 2 and 4; each survey sample N=590, margin of error = 4.3%; conducted by live telephone interviews.
*** PRESIDENTIAL: OH: (a) Rasmussen, (b) WeAskAmerica; VA: (a) Rasmussen, (b) WeAskAmerica; FL: WeAskAmerica.
**** SENATE: WA: Rasmussen.
# GOVERNOR: NC: Rasmussen; MO: PPP(D)